GNYADA June 2016 NY Auto Outlook
RECAP OF APRIL RESULTS
3%
Percent Change in Area Registrations April 2016 vs. April 2015
2%
2%
1%
April ‘16 new retail light vehicle registrations in the metro area declined a slim 1.1% compared to a year earlier. Auto Outlook had projected a 2% increase. Actual total for April was 47,902 versus the projection of 49,387. Auto Outlook is predicting that registrations in May of this year declined 5% versus a year earlier. We will report on May registrations in the July release.
0%
-1.1%
-1%
PG: 2 new york auto outlook : NEW VEHICLE MARKET June 2016 Issue 2007 Registrations 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 New vehicle registrations 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Apr Mar Feb Jan
-2%
-3%
Auto Outlook projected change
Actual change
RECENT RESULTS IN NEWVEHICLE MARKET
Monthly New Retail Light Vehicle Sales 2015 and 2016*
Percent Change in Area and U.S. New Vehicle Sales
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
The metro area market increased 4.5% during the rst ve months of 2016, while the national market declined slightly.
Metro NY U.S.
2016 2015
4.5
-8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1%
-1.1
-0.4
-3.1
Data Source: IHS Automotive
Monthly registrations declined by an estimated 5% in May of 2016.
-5.0
-6.1
Change May '16* vs May '15
Change April '16 vs April '15
Change YTD '16 Thru May* vs YTD '15
Jul
Oct
Jun
Dec
Sep
Nov
Aug
May
* Figures for May 2016 were estimated by Auto Outlook.
NEWVEHICLE MARKET FORECAST
New York Metro Area Annual New Retail Registrations History and Forecast
Metro area registrations are predicted to approach 610,000 units this year.
609,500
586,981
553,884
531,573
501,070
450,850
449,172
452,076
432,032
384,763
Data Source: IHS Automotive
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 Forecast
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