GNYADA February 2016 NY Auto Outlook
RECAP OF DECEMBER RESULTS
10%
December ‘15 new retail light vehicle registrations in the metro area were up 5.6% compared to a year earlier. Auto Outlook had projected a 9% increase. Auto Outlook is predicting that sales in January of this year declined 2% versus a year earlier. We will report on the accuracy of that projection in the March, 2016 release. Percent Change in Area Registrations December 2015 vs. December 2014
9.0%
8%
6%
5.6%
4%
2%
PG: 2 new york auto outlook : NEW VEHICLE MARKET February 2016 Issue 2007 Registrations 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 New vehicle registrations 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Apr Mar Feb Jan
0%
Auto Outlook projected % change
Actual % change
RECENT RESULTS IN NEWVEHICLE MARKET
Monthly New Retail Light Vehicle Sales 2014 and 2015*
Percent Change in Area and U.S. New Vehicle Sales
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%
Metro NY U.S.
2016 2015
The metro area market increased 6.2% during 2015, higher than in the nation.
6.2
5.6
5.1
2.5
Monthly registrations declined by an estimated 2% in January 2016.
-2% -1%
-0.4
-2.0
% Change Jan '16* vs Jan '15
% Change Dec '15 vs Dec '14
% Change 2015 vs 2014
Jul
Oct
Jun
Dec
Sep
Nov
Aug
May
* Figures for January 2016 were estimated by Auto Outlook. Data Source: IHS Automotive
Data Source: IHS Automotive
NEWVEHICLE MARKET FORECAST
New York Metro Area Annual New Retail Registrations History and Forecast
Metro area registrations are predicted to approach 600,000 units this year.
595,000
588,044
553,884
531,573
501,070
450,850
449,172
452,076
432,032
384,763
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 Forecast
Data Source: IHS Automotive
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