GNYADA March 2016 NY Auto Outlook
RECAP OF JANUARY RESULTS
12% 15%
January ‘16 new retail light vehicle registrations in the metro area were up 2.7% compared to a year earlier. Auto Outlook had projected a 2% decline. The late January snowstorm had less of an impact on sales than anticipated. Auto Outlook is predicting that sales in February of this year improved 4% versus a year earlier. We will report on the accuracy of that projection in the April, 2016 release. Percent Change in Area Registrations January 2016 vs. January 2015
0% 3% 6% 9%
2.7%
-2.0%
-9% -6% -3%
PG: 2 new york auto outlook : NEW VEHICLE MARKET March 2016 Issue 2007 Registrations 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 New vehicle registrations 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Apr Mar Feb Jan
-15% -12%
Auto Outlook projected % change
Actual % change
RECENT RESULTS IN NEWVEHICLE MARKET
Monthly New Retail Light Vehicle Sales 2015 and 2016*
Percent Change in Area and U.S. New Vehicle Sales
8%
The metro area market increased 3.4% during the rst two months of 2016, slightly below the nation.
2016 2015
Metro NY U.S.
7%
6%
6.8
6.3
5%
5.8
4%
4.0
3%
3.4
Monthly registrations were up an estimated 4% in February of 2016.
2%
2.7
1%
0%
% Change Feb '16* vs Feb '15
%Change Jan '16 vs Jan '15
% Change YTD '16 Thru Feb* vs YTD '15
Jul
Oct
Jun
Dec
Sep
Nov
Aug
May
* Figures for February 2016 were estimated by Auto Outlook. Data Source: IHS Automotive
Data Source: IHS Automotive
NEWVEHICLE MARKET FORECAST
New York Metro Area Annual New Retail Registrations History and Forecast
Metro area registrations are predicted to approach 600,000 units this year.
598,000
586,981
553,884
531,573
501,070
450,850
449,172
452,076
432,032
384,763
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 Forecast
Data Source: IHS Automotive
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